Market comparison

Northern Colorado vs. UC Davis

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

21 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Northern Colorado vs. UC Davis
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Northern Colorado Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0% Northern Colorado Open Kalshi ↗	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Northern Colorado vs. UC Davis Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
2H Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% 2H Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 49.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% O/U 49.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 51.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% O/U 51.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 53.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.5% Bid 56.0% · Ask 63.0% O/U 53.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 55.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 76.0% O/U 55.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 57.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0% O/U 57.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 59.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 53.0% O/U 59.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 61.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0% O/U 61.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: Northern Colorado (-1.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 26.0% Spread: Northern Colorado (-1.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: Northern Colorado (-3.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 25.0% Spread: Northern Colorado (-3.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: Northern Colorado (-5.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0% Spread: Northern Colorado (-5.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: Northern Colorado (-7.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 40.0% Spread: Northern Colorado (-7.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: Northern Colorado (-10.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 49.0% Spread: Northern Colorado (-10.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: Northern Colorado (-14.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 42.0% Spread: Northern Colorado (-14.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: UC Davis (-1.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 89.0% Spread: UC Davis (-1.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: UC Davis (-3.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 79.0% Spread: UC Davis (-3.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: UC Davis (-5.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.5% Bid 45.0% · Ask 74.0% Spread: UC Davis (-5.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: UC Davis (-7.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 83.0% Spread: UC Davis (-7.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: UC Davis (-10.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0% Spread: UC Davis (-10.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread: UC Davis (-14.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 48.0% Spread: UC Davis (-14.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
UC Davis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% UC Davis Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Northern Colorado

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0%

Northern Colorado

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Northern Colorado vs. UC Davis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

2H Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

2H Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 49.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0%

O/U 49.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 51.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

O/U 51.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 53.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 63.0%

O/U 53.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 55.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 76.0%

O/U 55.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 57.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

O/U 57.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 59.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 53.0%

O/U 59.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 61.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0%

O/U 61.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Northern Colorado (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 26.0%

Spread: Northern Colorado (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Northern Colorado (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 25.0%

Spread: Northern Colorado (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Northern Colorado (-5.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0%

Spread: Northern Colorado (-5.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Northern Colorado (-7.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 40.0%

Spread: Northern Colorado (-7.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Northern Colorado (-10.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 49.0%

Spread: Northern Colorado (-10.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Northern Colorado (-14.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 42.0%

Spread: Northern Colorado (-14.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: UC Davis (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread: UC Davis (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: UC Davis (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 79.0%

Spread: UC Davis (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: UC Davis (-5.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 74.0%

Spread: UC Davis (-5.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: UC Davis (-7.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 83.0%

Spread: UC Davis (-7.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: UC Davis (-10.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0%

Spread: UC Davis (-10.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: UC Davis (-14.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 48.0%

Spread: UC Davis (-14.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

UC Davis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

UC Davis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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