Market comparison

NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.1% Bid 22.1% · Ask 40.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.6% Bid 19.3% · Ask 19.8% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Flippo, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 62.0% Flippo, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flippo, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0% Flippo, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flippo, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Flippo, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flippo, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 2.4% · Ask 14.0% Flippo, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flippo, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7% Flippo, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flippo, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7% Flippo, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flippo, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Flippo, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 33.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.8% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.4% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 20.5% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.1%

Bid 22.1% · Ask 40.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.6%

Bid 19.3% · Ask 19.8%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Flippo, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 62.0%

Flippo, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flippo, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0%

Flippo, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flippo, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Flippo, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flippo, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 14.0%

Flippo, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flippo, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7%

Flippo, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flippo, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7%

Flippo, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flippo, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Flippo, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 33.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.8%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.4%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 20.5%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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