Market comparison

NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 4.4% · Ask 9.5% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lee, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.6% Bid 90.9% · Ask 94.3% Lee, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 94.3% Lee, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.5% Lee, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0% Lee, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Lee, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Lee, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Lee, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 9.8% · Ask 21.0% Lee, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.0% Lee, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.0% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 9.5%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lee, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.6%

Bid 90.9% · Ask 94.3%

Lee, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 94.3%

Lee, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.5%

Lee, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0%

Lee, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Lee, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Lee, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Lee, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 21.0%

Lee, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.0%

Lee, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.0%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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