Market comparison

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
LaLota, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% LaLota, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0% LaLota, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0% LaLota, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% LaLota, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0% LaLota, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.6% Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.2% LaLota, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.2% LaLota, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
LaLota, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.2% LaLota, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.6% Bid 12.3% · Ask 14.9% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 17.5% · Ask 19.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 11.0% · Ask 11.5% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 7.9% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.8% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.7% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LaLota, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0%

LaLota, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0%

LaLota, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0%

LaLota, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

LaLota, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0%

LaLota, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.2%

LaLota, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.2%

LaLota, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

LaLota, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.2%

LaLota, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 12.3% · Ask 14.9%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 17.5% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 11.5%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 7.9%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.7%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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