Market comparison

NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 20.3% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Garbarino, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Garbarino, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Garbarino, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Garbarino, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Garbarino, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Garbarino, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.6% · Ask 18.0% Garbarino, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0% Garbarino, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garbarino, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.5% Garbarino, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Halpin, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0% Halpin, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.4% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 21.4% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 9.5% · Ask 9.6% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 20.3%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Garbarino, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Garbarino, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Garbarino, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Garbarino, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Garbarino, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Garbarino, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 18.0%

Garbarino, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0%

Garbarino, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garbarino, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.5%

Garbarino, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Halpin, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0%

Halpin, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.4%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 21.4%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.6%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 9.6%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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