Market comparison

NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Clarke, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.5% Bid 92.5% · Ask 98.6% Clarke, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.7% Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.6% Clarke, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.9% Clarke, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0% Clarke, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0% Clarke, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Clarke, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Clarke, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0% Clarke, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarke, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Clarke, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Democrat 0-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 25-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.9% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.9% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.8% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Democrat 65%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Clarke, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.5%

Bid 92.5% · Ask 98.6%

Clarke, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.7%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.6%

Clarke, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.9%

Clarke, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0%

Clarke, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0%

Clarke, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Clarke, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Clarke, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0%

Clarke, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clarke, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Clarke, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat 0-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 25-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.9%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.9%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.8%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Democrat 65%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets