Market comparison

NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9% Democrat 0-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 45-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.6% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 15.2% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 37.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75-80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 75-80% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 80-85% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9% Democrat 80-85% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 85%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.5% Democrat 85%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lander, 57+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.2% Bid 91.2% · Ask 99.3% Lander, 57+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 60+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.0% Lander, 60+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 63+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Lander, 63+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 66+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Lander, 66+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 69+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0% Lander, 69+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 72+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Lander, 72+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 75+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 11.0% Lander, 75+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 78+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Lander, 78+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lander, 81+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Lander, 81+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat 0-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 45-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.6%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 15.2% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 37.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75-80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 75-80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 80-85%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9%

Democrat 80-85%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 85%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat 85%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lander, 57+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.2%

Bid 91.2% · Ask 99.3%

Lander, 57+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 60+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.0%

Lander, 60+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 63+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Lander, 63+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 66+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Lander, 66+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 69+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0%

Lander, 69+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 72+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Lander, 72+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 75+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 11.0%

Lander, 75+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 78+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Lander, 78+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lander, 81+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Lander, 81+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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