Market comparison

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Malliotakis, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Malliotakis, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 77.0% Malliotakis, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% Malliotakis, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% Malliotakis, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Malliotakis, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Malliotakis, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0% Malliotakis, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.9% Malliotakis, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Malliotakis, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5% Malliotakis, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.2% Bid 12.3% · Ask 18.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.5% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Malliotakis, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Malliotakis, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 77.0%

Malliotakis, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

Malliotakis, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%

Malliotakis, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Malliotakis, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Malliotakis, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0%

Malliotakis, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.9%

Malliotakis, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.5%

Malliotakis, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.2%

Bid 12.3% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.1%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.5%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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