Market comparison

NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.4% Democrat 0-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 45-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.2% Bid 13.6% · Ask 18.7% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.2% Bid 21.4% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75-80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8% Democrat 75-80% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 80-85% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Democrat 80-85% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 85%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.3% Democrat 85%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lasher, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.4% Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.8% Lasher, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 57+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Lasher, 57+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 60+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Lasher, 60+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 63+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Lasher, 63+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 66+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0% Lasher, 66+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 69+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 8.3% · Ask 20.0% Lasher, 69+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 72+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9% Lasher, 72+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 75+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Lasher, 75+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lasher, 78+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Lasher, 78+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.4%

Democrat 0-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 45-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.2%

Bid 13.6% · Ask 18.7%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.2%

Bid 21.4% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75-80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8%

Democrat 75-80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 80-85%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Democrat 80-85%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 85%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.3%

Democrat 85%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lasher, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.4%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.8%

Lasher, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 57+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Lasher, 57+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 60+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Lasher, 60+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 63+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Lasher, 63+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 66+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0%

Lasher, 66+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 69+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 20.0%

Lasher, 69+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 72+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9%

Lasher, 72+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 75+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Lasher, 75+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lasher, 78+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Lasher, 78+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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