Market comparison

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $31K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Chevalier, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.8% Bid 93.8% · Ask 98.5% Chevalier, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 61+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.1% Bid 93.1% · Ask 98.4% Chevalier, 61+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 64+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.2% Bid 90.2% · Ask 98.4% Chevalier, 64+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 67+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.0% Chevalier, 67+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 70+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Chevalier, 70+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 73+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Chevalier, 73+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 76+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Chevalier, 76+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 79+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.6% · Ask 17.0% Chevalier, 79+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chevalier, 82+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8% Chevalier, 82+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7% Democrat 0-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Democrat 45-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.6% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75-80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.6% Bid 24.0% · Ask 37.3% Democrat 75-80% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 80-85% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% Democrat 80-85% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 85%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.1% Democrat 85%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Chevalier, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.8%

Bid 93.8% · Ask 98.5%

Chevalier, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 61+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.1%

Bid 93.1% · Ask 98.4%

Chevalier, 61+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 64+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.2%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 98.4%

Chevalier, 64+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 67+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.0%

Chevalier, 67+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 70+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Chevalier, 70+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 73+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Chevalier, 73+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 76+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Chevalier, 76+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 79+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 17.0%

Chevalier, 79+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Chevalier, 82+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8%

Chevalier, 82+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7%

Democrat 0-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Democrat 45-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.6%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75-80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.6%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 37.3%

Democrat 75-80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 80-85%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6%

Democrat 80-85%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 85%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.1%

Democrat 85%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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