Market comparison

NY-19 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-19 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.5% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.1% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.3% Bid 17.0% · Ask 17.6% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 2.3% · Ask 15.1% Democrat 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.4% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.7% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Riley, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.7% Riley, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.2% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.4% Riley, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Riley, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0% Riley, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 56.0% Riley, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Riley, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0% Riley, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.4% Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0% Riley, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Riley, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.0% Riley, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.5%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.1%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.3%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 17.6%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.7%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 15.1%

Democrat 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.4%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.7%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Riley, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.7%

Riley, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.2%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.4%

Riley, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Riley, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0%

Riley, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 56.0%

Riley, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Riley, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0%

Riley, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.4%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0%

Riley, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Riley, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.0%

Riley, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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