Market comparison

NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 22.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 4.1% · Ask 11.4% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mannion, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.6% Bid 90.6% · Ask 97.5% Mannion, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.4% Mannion, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.5% Mannion, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Mannion, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0% Mannion, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0% Mannion, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Mannion, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0% Mannion, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mannion, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 3.9% · Ask 15.0% Mannion, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 22.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 11.4%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mannion, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.6%

Bid 90.6% · Ask 97.5%

Mannion, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.4%

Mannion, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.5%

Mannion, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Mannion, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0%

Mannion, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0%

Mannion, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Mannion, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0%

Mannion, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mannion, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 15.0%

Mannion, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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