Market comparison

NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 2.4% · Ask 5.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 2.3% · Ask 11.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.5% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.2% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tenney, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.8% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.6% Tenney, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.6% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.2% Tenney, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 79.0% Tenney, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Tenney, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0% Tenney, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0% Tenney, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Tenney, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.2% Bid 2.3% · Ask 14.0% Tenney, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tenney, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6% Tenney, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 5.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 11.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.5%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.2%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tenney, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.8%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.6%

Tenney, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.6%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.2%

Tenney, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 79.0%

Tenney, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Tenney, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0%

Tenney, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0%

Tenney, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Tenney, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 14.0%

Tenney, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tenney, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6%

Tenney, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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