Market comparison

NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 5-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.5% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 34.2% · Ask 35.9% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.8% Bid 21.3% · Ask 40.3% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.8% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9% Democrat 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Morelle, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.4% Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.6% Morelle, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.9% Bid 90.2% · Ask 99.6% Morelle, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.6% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.3% Morelle, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 89.0% Morelle, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0% Morelle, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% Morelle, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0% Morelle, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Morelle, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Morelle, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0% Morelle, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 5-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.5%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 34.2% · Ask 35.9%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.8%

Bid 21.3% · Ask 40.3%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.8%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9%

Democrat 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Morelle, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.4%

Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.6%

Morelle, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.9%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 99.6%

Morelle, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.6%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.3%

Morelle, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 89.0%

Morelle, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0%

Morelle, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

Morelle, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0%

Morelle, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Morelle, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Morelle, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0%

Morelle, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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