Market comparison

NYC population change in Mamdani's first 18 months?

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

8 outcomes · $89K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for NYC population change in Mamdani's first 18 months?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Decrease 1-1.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0% Decrease 1-1.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Decrease 2-2.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Decrease 2-2.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Decrease 3% or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Decrease 3% or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
Increase 0.01-0.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0% Increase 0.01-0.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Increase 1-1.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Increase 1-1.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Increase 2-2.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Increase 2-2.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Increase 3% or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Increase 3% or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
No change or decrease 0–0.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% No change or decrease 0–0.99% Open Kalshi ↗	—

Decrease 1-1.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Decrease 1-1.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Decrease 2-2.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Decrease 2-2.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Decrease 3% or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Decrease 3% or more

Open Kalshi ↗

Increase 0.01-0.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0%

Increase 0.01-0.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Increase 1-1.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Increase 1-1.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Increase 2-2.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Increase 2-2.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Increase 3% or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Increase 3% or more

Open Kalshi ↗

No change or decrease 0–0.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%

No change or decrease 0–0.99%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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