Market comparison

Ohio's 10th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ohio's 10th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Knickerbocker, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0% Knickerbocker, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.4% Bid 10.0% · Ask 24.9% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.4% Bid 12.4% · Ask 14.4% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.8% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.7% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 7.2% · Ask 8.0% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Turner, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 59.0% Turner, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turner, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Turner, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turner, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Turner, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turner, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 5.2% · Ask 17.0% Turner, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turner, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Turner, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turner, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7% Turner, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Turner, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5% Turner, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Knickerbocker, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0%

Knickerbocker, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.4%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 24.9%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.4%

Bid 12.4% · Ask 14.4%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.8%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.7%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turner, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 59.0%

Turner, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turner, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Turner, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turner, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Turner, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turner, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 17.0%

Turner, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turner, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Turner, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turner, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7%

Turner, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turner, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5%

Turner, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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