Market comparison

Ohio's 15th District margin of victory

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.9% · Ask 9.5% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Leonard, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 38.0% Leonard, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leonard, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Leonard, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leonard, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.1% Bid 6.2% · Ask 18.0% Leonard, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 13.4% · Ask 17.6% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.8% Bid 11.4% · Ask 16.1% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.9% Bid 7.3% · Ask 20.4% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.2% Bid 6.2% · Ask 10.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.1% · Ask 16.9% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.5% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 9.5%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Leonard, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 38.0%

Leonard, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Leonard, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Leonard, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Leonard, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.1%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 18.0%

Leonard, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 13.4% · Ask 17.6%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.8%

Bid 11.4% · Ask 16.1%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.9%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 20.4%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.2%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 10.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 16.9%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.5%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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