Market comparison

OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OK-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.4% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 35.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.1% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.2% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tedford, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.1% Tedford, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 85.0% Tedford, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0% Tedford, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0% Tedford, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Tedford, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Tedford, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0% Tedford, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.4% Tedford, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tedford, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1% Tedford, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.4%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 35.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.1%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tedford, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.1%

Tedford, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tedford, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0%

Tedford, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0%

Tedford, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Tedford, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Tedford, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0%

Tedford, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.4%

Tedford, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tedford, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1%

Tedford, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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