Market comparison

OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Brecheen, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.5% Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.1% Brecheen, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Brecheen, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0% Brecheen, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0% Brecheen, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Brecheen, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0% Brecheen, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Brecheen, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Brecheen, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brecheen, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 6.4% · Ask 15.0% Brecheen, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.8% Republican 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.1% Republican 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.7% Bid 10.1% · Ask 23.2% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.2% Bid 3.1% · Ask 31.2% Republican 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.6% Republican 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.4% Bid 2.0% · Ask 48.8% Republican 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Brecheen, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.5%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 99.1%

Brecheen, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Brecheen, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0%

Brecheen, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0%

Brecheen, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Brecheen, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0%

Brecheen, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Brecheen, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Brecheen, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brecheen, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 15.0%

Brecheen, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.8%

Republican 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.1%

Republican 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.7%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 23.2%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.2%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 31.2%

Republican 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.6%

Republican 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 48.8%

Republican 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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