Market comparison

OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bice, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Bice, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0% Bice, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Bice, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Bice, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Bice, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 4.5% · Ask 16.0% Bice, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Bice, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.9% Bice, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bice, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 6.3% · Ask 6.6% Bice, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.3% Bid 14.9% · Ask 17.6% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.9% Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.6% Bid 24.6% · Ask 38.5% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 11.7% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 9.9% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bice, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Bice, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0%

Bice, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Bice, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Bice, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Bice, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 16.0%

Bice, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Bice, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.9%

Bice, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bice, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 6.6%

Bice, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.3%

Bid 14.9% · Ask 17.6%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.9%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.6%

Bid 24.6% · Ask 38.5%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 11.7%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 9.9%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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