Market comparison

Oklahoma Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oklahoma Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 5.1% · Ask 8.1% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mazzei, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.7% Mazzei, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 80.0% Mazzei, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Mazzei, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% Mazzei, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 30.0% Mazzei, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Mazzei, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 6.4% · Ask 18.0% Mazzei, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Mazzei, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2% Mazzei, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4% Mazzei, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Mazzei, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mazzei, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Mazzei, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 9.4% · Ask 9.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.6% · Ask 21.4% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.1% · Ask 11.9% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.1% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.5% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.7% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.2% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 8.1%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mazzei, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.7%

Mazzei, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 80.0%

Mazzei, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Mazzei, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

Mazzei, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 30.0%

Mazzei, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Mazzei, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 18.0%

Mazzei, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Mazzei, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2%

Mazzei, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4%

Mazzei, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Mazzei, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mazzei, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Mazzei, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.4%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 9.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.6% · Ask 21.4%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 11.9%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.5%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.7%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.2%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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