Market comparison

Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.3% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hern, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.1% Hern, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 87.0% Hern, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0% Hern, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 73.0% Hern, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0% Hern, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0% Hern, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Hern, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0% Hern, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Hern, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.6% Bid 7.4% · Ask 18.0% Hern, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0% Hern, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 5.5% · Ask 6.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.4% Bid 1.2% · Ask 33.7% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 39.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.6% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.3%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hern, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.1%

Hern, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 87.0%

Hern, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0%

Hern, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 73.0%

Hern, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0%

Hern, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0%

Hern, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Hern, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0%

Hern, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Hern, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.6%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 18.0%

Hern, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0%

Hern, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 33.7%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 39.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.6%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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