Market comparison

Oklahoma's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oklahoma's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cole, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.8% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.6% Cole, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0% Cole, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Cole, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Cole, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Cole, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0% Cole, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Cole, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0% Cole, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cole, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0% Cole, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 2.6% · Ask 8.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 5.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6% Republican 5-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 1.7% · Ask 9.1% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.7% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.9% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.7% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cole, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.8%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.6%

Cole, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0%

Cole, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Cole, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Cole, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Cole, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0%

Cole, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0%

Cole, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0%

Cole, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cole, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0%

Cole, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 5.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6%

Republican 5-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 9.1%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.7%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.9%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.7%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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