Market comparison
Oliynykova vs Hontama
2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗2 outcomes · $3K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2026
Polymarket
Open venue ↗17 outcomes · $1K reported volume
Observed 36s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026
Known rule differences between venues
- Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
- Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
- Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
- Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
- UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
- Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Oliynykova Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 49.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Open Polymarket ↗ | 2.5 pp | |
Completed Match Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mai Hontama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 66.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 O/U 9.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 50.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 Winner Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 50.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 100.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 Winner Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 50.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 92.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Match O/U 23.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 O/U 8.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 O/U 10.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 49.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 50.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Match O/U 21.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 48.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Game Spread +/-0.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 45.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 9.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 43.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Match O/U 22.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 39.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Total Sets: O/U 2.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Set Handicap: Oleksandra Oliynykova (-1.5) vs Mai Hontama (+1.5) Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Set Handicap: Mai Hontama (-1.5) vs Oleksandra Oliynykova (+1.5) Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | 22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 10.5 Open Polymarket ↗ | — |
Oliynykova
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
49.5%
Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama
Open Polymarket ↗Price difference 2.5 pp
Completed Match
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Mai Hontama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
66.5%
Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
50.0%
Bid — · Ask 100.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 O/U 9.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
50.0%
Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 Winner
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
50.0%
Bid 48.0% · Ask 100.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 Winner
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
50.0%
Bid 8.0% · Ask 92.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Match O/U 23.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
50.0%
Bid — · Ask 100.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 O/U 8.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
50.0%
Bid — · Ask 100.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 2 O/U 10.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
49.0%
Bid 48.0% · Ask 50.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Match O/U 21.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
48.5%
Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Game Spread +/-0.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
45.0%
Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 9.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
43.5%
Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Match O/U 22.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
39.5%
Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
31.0%
Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%
Set Handicap: Oleksandra Oliynykova (-1.5) vs Mai Hontama (+1.5)
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
30.5%
Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%
Set Handicap: Mai Hontama (-1.5) vs Oleksandra Oliynykova (+1.5)
Open Polymarket ↗Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
22.0%
Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama Set 1 O/U 10.5
Open Polymarket ↗Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.