Market comparison

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 439h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 5, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OpenAI share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Above 19.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 19.9% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 23.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 23.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 24.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 24.9% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 26.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 26.3% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 27.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 27.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 28.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 28.8% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 30.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 30.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 31.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 31.7% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 34.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 34.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Above 19.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 19.9% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 23.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 23.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 24.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 24.9% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 26.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 26.3% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 27.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 27.6% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 28.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 28.8% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 30.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 30.1% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 31.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 31.7% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 34.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 34.1% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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