Market comparison

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 433h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 5, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OpenAI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Above 14.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 14.9% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 17.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 17.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 18.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 18.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 20.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 20.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 21.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 21.3% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 22.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 22.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 24.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 24.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 25.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 25.5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 27.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Above 27.5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Above 14.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 14.9% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 17.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 17.1% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 18.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 18.6% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 20.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

91.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 20.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 21.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 21.3% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 22.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 22.6% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 24.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 24.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 25.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 25.5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 27.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Above 27.5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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