Market comparison

OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bentz, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0% Bentz, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.8% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.5% Bentz, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0% Bentz, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Bentz, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Bentz, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Bentz, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Bentz, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 6.9% · Ask 18.0% Bentz, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bentz, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 12.0% Bentz, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 17.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.9% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.9% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.6% Bid 24.3% · Ask 25.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.1% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bentz, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0%

Bentz, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.8%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.5%

Bentz, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0%

Bentz, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Bentz, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Bentz, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Bentz, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Bentz, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 6.9% · Ask 18.0%

Bentz, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bentz, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 12.0%

Bentz, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 17.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.9%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.6%

Bid 24.3% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.1%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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