Market comparison

OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Democrat 25-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.8% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.2% Bid 4.2% · Ask 10.3% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.6% Democrat 65%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dexter, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.1% Bid 93.1% · Ask 99.5% Dexter, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.8% Bid 90.1% · Ask 99.4% Dexter, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.9% Dexter, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.8% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.5% Dexter, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Dexter, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Dexter, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 56.0% Dexter, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Dexter, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Dexter, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dexter, 65+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.2% Bid 5.4% · Ask 17.0% Dexter, 65+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat 25-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.8%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.2%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 10.3%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.6%

Democrat 65%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Dexter, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.1%

Bid 93.1% · Ask 99.5%

Dexter, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.8%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 99.4%

Dexter, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.9%

Dexter, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.8%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.5%

Dexter, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Dexter, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Dexter, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 56.0%

Dexter, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Dexter, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Dexter, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dexter, 65+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.2%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 17.0%

Dexter, 65+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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