Market comparison

Oscar winner: Best Actress

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $306K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

37 outcomes · $155K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar winner: Best Actress
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Anne hathaway Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Anne hathaway Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗	1.6 pp
Cynthia Erivo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Cynthia Erivo Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Cynthia Erivo Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Inde Navarrette Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Inde Navarrette Open Kalshi ↗	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗	3.0 pp
Joan Collins Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Joan Collins Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Joan Collins Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Julianne Moore Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	72.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0% Julianne Moore Open Kalshi ↗	74.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0% Julianne Moore Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Mikey Madison Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mikey Madison Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Mikey Madison Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Olivia Wilde Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Renate Reinsve Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Renate Reinsve Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.5% Renate Reinsve Open Polymarket ↗	0.2 pp
Sandra Huller Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Sandra Hüller Open Kalshi ↗	5.3% Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.9% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗	1.3 pp
Scarlett Johansson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Scarlett Johansson Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Scarlett Johansson Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Actress I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dakota Johnson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dakota Johnson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Emily Blunt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Emily Blunt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kate O'Flynn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kate O'Flynn Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kirsten Dunst Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kirsten Dunst Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Léa Seydoux Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Léa Seydoux Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marion Bailey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Marion Bailey Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michelle Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Michelle Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—
Natalie Portman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Natalie Portman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Penélope Cruz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Penélope Cruz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rachel Brosnahan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Rachel Brosnahan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rosalind Eleazar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Rosalind Eleazar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ruth Madeley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3% Ruth Madeley Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shailene Woodley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Shailene Woodley Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sophie Okonedo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Sophie Okonedo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Virginie Efira Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.9% Virginie Efira Open Polymarket ↗	—

Anne hathaway

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Anne hathaway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

Anne Hathaway

Oscar winner: Best Actress

Kalshi

Polymarket

Known rule differences between venues

Anne hathaway

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cynthia Erivo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Inde Navarrette

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joan Collins

Kalshi

Polymarket

Julianne Moore

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mikey Madison

Kalshi

Polymarket

Olivia Wilde

Kalshi

Polymarket

Renate Reinsve

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sandra Huller

Kalshi

Polymarket

Scarlett Johansson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress I

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress J

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress K

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress L

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress M

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress N

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress O

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress P

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress Q

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress R

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress S

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress T

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress U

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress V

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress W

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actress X