Market comparison
Oscar Winner: Best Animated Feature Film
2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗35 outcomes · $65K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $44K reported volume
Observed 3m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Forgotten Island Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Hoppers Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.8 pp | ||
Iron Boy Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.9 pp | ||
Minions & Monsters Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Ray Gunn Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.9 pp | ||
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Tangles Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Toy Story 5 Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Wildwood Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Movie B Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie J Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie K Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie L Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie M Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie N Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie O Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie P Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Q Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie R Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie S Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie T Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie U Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie V Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie W Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie X Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Y Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Z Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Forgotten Island
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Hoppers
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Iron Boy
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.9 pp
Minions & Monsters
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.7 pp
Ray Gunn
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.9 pp
Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Tangles
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Toy Story 5
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
Wildwood
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.0 pp
Movie B
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie J
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie K
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie L
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie M
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie N
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie O
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie P
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie Q
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie R
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie S
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie T
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie U
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie V
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie W
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie X
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie Y
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie Z
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Tie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.