Market comparison
Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film
2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗11 outcomes · $95K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗34 outcomes · $43K reported volume
Observed 4m ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
American Doctor Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Musk Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
NAZA Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Nuisance Bear Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.1 pp | ||
Once Upon a Time in Harlem Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.5 pp | ||
One in a Million Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Tutu Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
You Can See Everything Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.5 pp | ||
14th Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie J Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie K Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie L Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie M Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie N Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie O Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie P Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Q Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie R Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie S Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie T Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie U Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie V Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie W Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie X Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Y Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Z Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
American Doctor
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Musk
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
NAZA
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Nuisance Bear
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.1 pp
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.5 pp
One in a Million
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Tutu
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
You Can See Everything
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.5 pp
14th
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Movie C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie J
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie K
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie L
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie M
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie N
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie O
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie P
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie Q
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie R
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie S
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie T
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie U
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie V
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie W
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie X
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie Y
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Movie Z
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Tie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.