The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner

2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $65K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

10 outcomes · $44K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
  • Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Forgotten Island

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.8%

Forgotten Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Forgotten Island

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Hoppers

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Hoppers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hoppers

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Iron Boy

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Iron Boy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Iron Boy

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Minions & Monsters

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Minions & Monsters

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Minions & Monsters

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Ray Gunn

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.8%

Ray Gunn

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Tangles

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 3.0%

Tangles

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tangles

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Toy Story 5

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Wildwood

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

77.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 78.0%

Wildwood

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Movie B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.