Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

2 venues · 59 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

46 outcomes · $372K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

41 outcomes · $48K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alejandro G. Iñárritu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Alejandro G. Iñárritu Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9% Alejandro G. Iñárritu Open Polymarket ↗	1.1 pp
Andrew Haigh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Andrew Haigh Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Andrew Haigh Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Andrew Haigh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Christopher Nolan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	56.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0% Christopher Nolan Open Kalshi ↗ 94.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% Christopher Nolan Open Kalshi ↗	62.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0% Christopher Nolan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cristian Mungiu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	27.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Cristian Mungiu Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Cristian Mungiu Open Polymarket ↗	26.4 pp
David Fincher Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% David Fincher Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% David Fincher Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% David Fincher Open Polymarket ↗	—
Denis Villeneuve Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Denis Villeneuve Open Kalshi ↗ 58.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 59.0% Denis Villeneuve Open Kalshi ↗	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Denis Villeneuve Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jesse Eisenberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jesse Eisenberg Open Kalshi ↗ 24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Jesse Eisenberg Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3% Jesse Eisenberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joel Coen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Joel Coen Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Joel Coen Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Joel Coen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Martin McDonagh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Martin McDonagh Open Kalshi ↗ 75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0% Martin McDonagh Open Kalshi ↗	1.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.9% Martin McDonagh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mike Leigh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mike Leigh Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Mike Leigh Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Mike Leigh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Olivia Wilde Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗ 56.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 56.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.9% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryusuke Hamaguchi Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	38.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 38.0% Ryusuke Hamaguchi Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Ryusuke Hamaguchi Open Polymarket ↗	37.5 pp
Steven Spielberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Steven Spielberg Open Kalshi ↗ 8.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Steven Spielberg Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.5% Steven Spielberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Aaron Sorkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8% Aaron Sorkin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alejandro González Iñárritu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0% Alejandro González Iñárritu Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bassam Tariq Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Bassam Tariq Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ben Affleck Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ben Affleck Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Ben Affleck Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Beth de Araujo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Beth de Araujo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Christopher Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Christopher Miller Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Curry Barker Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Curry Barker Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Daisy Edgar-Jones DEACTIVATED Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0% Daisy Edgar-Jones DEACTIVATED Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Danny Boyle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Danny Boyle Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Danny Boyle Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
David O. Russell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% David O. Russell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Greta Gerwig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Greta Gerwig Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
James Ashcroft Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% James Ashcroft Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Janus Metz Pedersen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Janus Metz Pedersen Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Janus Metz Pedersen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Javier Calvo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 90.0% Javier Calvo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Firstman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Jordan Firstman Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lance Oppenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.4% Lance Oppenheim Open Polymarket ↗	—
Na Hong-jin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Na Hong-jin Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Na Hong-jin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nathan Fielder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% Nathan Fielder Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paweł Pawlikowski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Paweł Pawlikowski Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peter Farrelly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.0% Peter Farrelly Open Polymarket ↗	—
Phil Lord Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Phil Lord Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Phil Lord & Christopher Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Phil Lord & Christopher Miller Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.9% Phil Lord or Christopher Miller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tony Gilroy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Tony Gilroy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
xxxxx Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% xxxxx · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Haigh

Kalshi

Polymarket

Christopher Nolan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cristian Mungiu

Kalshi

Polymarket

David Fincher

Kalshi

Polymarket

Denis Villeneuve

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jesse Eisenberg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joel Coen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Martin McDonagh

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mike Leigh

Kalshi

Polymarket

Olivia Wilde

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Steven Spielberg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Aaron Sorkin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alejandro González Iñárritu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bassam Tariq

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ben Affleck

Kalshi

Polymarket

Beth de Araujo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Christopher Miller

Kalshi

Polymarket

Curry Barker

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daisy Edgar-Jones DEACTIVATED

Kalshi

Polymarket

Danny Boyle

Kalshi

Polymarket

David O. Russell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Director H

Kalshi

Polymarket

Director J

Kalshi

Polymarket

Director K

Kalshi