Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

2 venues · 40 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

39 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 39s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cry to Heaven Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	3.8 pp
Disclosure Day Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.2% Disclosure Day Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Disclosure Day Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Dune: Part Three Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	18.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	21.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Project Hail Mary Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 10.3% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
The Black Ball Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	6.8% Bid 5.3% · Ask 8.2% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% The Black Ball Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
The Drama Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% The Drama Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
The Mandalorian and Grogu Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
The Odyssey Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	65.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
The Social Reckoning Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Whalefall Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9% Whalefall Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Whalefall Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Wild Horse Nine Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.7% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	4.8 pp
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.7% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—

Cry to Heaven

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Cry to Heaven

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Cry to Heaven

Polymarket

Kalshi

Disclosure Day

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Black Ball

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Drama

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Social Reckoning

Polymarket

Kalshi

Whalefall

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wild Horse Nine

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie M

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie N

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie O