Market comparison
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
2 venues · 65 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗27 outcomes · $195K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗64 outcomes · $56K reported volume
Observed 33s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Adam Scott Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Andrew Garfield Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Channing Tatum Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Charles Melton Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Colman Domingo Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Daniel Craig Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.0 pp | ||
Edward Norton Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Guitarricadelafuente Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.5 pp | ||
Guy Pearce Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Himesh Patel Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.2 pp | ||
James Ortiz Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.4 pp | ||
Jeremy Strong Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Jesse Plemons Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.6 pp | ||
John Goodman Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
John Leguizamo Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 6.0 pp | ||
Michael Fassbender Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Miles Teller Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Paul Giamatti Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Riz Ahmed Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Robert De Niro Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Robert Pattinson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Sam Rockwell Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.2 pp | ||
Skyler Gisondo Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Steve Buscemi Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.0 pp | ||
Tom Holland Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Actor AA Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AB Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AC Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AD Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AE Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AF Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AG Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AH Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AJ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AK Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AL Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AM Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AN Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AO Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor AP Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor J Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor K Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor L Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor M Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor N Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor O Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor P Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor Q Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor R Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor S Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor T Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor U Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor V Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor W Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor X Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor Y Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Actor Z Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Travis Scott Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Adam Scott
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Andrew Garfield
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Channing Tatum
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Charles Melton
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.7 pp
Colman Domingo
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Daniel Craig
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.0 pp
Edward Norton
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Guitarricadelafuente
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.5 pp
Guy Pearce
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Himesh Patel
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
James Ortiz
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.4 pp
Jeremy Strong
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Jesse Plemons
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.6 pp
John Goodman
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
John Leguizamo
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 6.0 pp
Michael Fassbender
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Miles Teller
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Paul Giamatti
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Riz Ahmed
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Robert De Niro
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Robert Pattinson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.6 pp
Sam Rockwell
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
Skyler Gisondo
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Steve Buscemi
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.0 pp
Tom Holland
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Actor AA
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AB
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AC
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AD
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AE
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AF
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AG
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AH
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AJ
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AK
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AL
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AM
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AN
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AO
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor AP
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor J
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor K
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor L
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor M
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor N
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor O
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor P
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor Q
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor R
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor S
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor T
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor U
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor V
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor W
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor X
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor Y
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Actor Z
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Tie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Travis Scott
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.