The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Nominations

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

38 outcomes · $54K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 23s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Avengers: Doomsday

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Kalshi ↗

48.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 58.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 94.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

89.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

97.0%

Bid 95.5% · Ask 98.4%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Godzilla Minus Zero

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 88.0%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Kalshi ↗

50.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

91.0%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 91.7%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Polymarket ↗

Project Hail Mary

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

87.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 97.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

84.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 38.0%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Kalshi ↗

35.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 41.0%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 83.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

23.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

88.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 98.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

80.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 84.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Clayface

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Clayface

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Clayface

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Disclosure Day

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

35.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Narnia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Narnia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Supergirl

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Supergirl

Open Kalshi ↗

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Supergirl

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The End of Oak Street

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

The End of Oak Street

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

The End of Oak Street

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Open Kalshi ↗

35.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Sheep Detectives

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

The Sheep Detectives

Open Kalshi ↗

15.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0%

The Sheep Detectives

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Werwulf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Whalefall

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Whalefall

Open Kalshi ↗

15.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0%

Whalefall

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wildwood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.