Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

38 outcomes · $54K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Avengers: Doomsday Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	46.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0% Avengers: Doomsday Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Avengers: Doomsday Open Kalshi ↗ 48.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 58.0% Avengers: Doomsday Open Kalshi ↗	3.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.8% Avengers: Doomsday Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗ 34.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗ 89.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—
Godzilla Minus Zero Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.0% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Kalshi ↗ 50.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 69.0% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Kalshi ↗	4.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.2% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Polymarket ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	87.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗ 87.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 97.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	25.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 39.0% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Kalshi ↗ 35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	80.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 86.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗ 23.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗ 88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 98.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—
Clayface Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Clayface Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Clayface Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Disclosure Day Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Disclosure Day Open Kalshi ↗ 35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Disclosure Day Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Narnia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Narnia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Supergirl Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Supergirl Open Kalshi ↗ 8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Supergirl Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The End of Oak Street Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% The End of Oak Street Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% The End of Oak Street Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Mandalorian and Grogu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Kalshi ↗ 35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Sheep Detectives Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% The Sheep Detectives Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% The Sheep Detectives Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Werwulf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗ 26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Whalefall Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Whalefall Open Kalshi ↗ 15.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0% Whalefall Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wildwood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Avengers: Doomsday

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner

Kalshi

Polymarket

Avengers: Doomsday

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Kalshi

Polymarket

Godzilla Minus Zero

Kalshi

Polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Kalshi

Polymarket

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Odyssey

Kalshi

Polymarket

Clayface

Kalshi

Polymarket

Disclosure Day

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie A

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie B

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie C

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie E

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie F

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie G

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie H

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie I

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie J

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie K

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie L

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie M

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie N

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie O

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie P

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie Q

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie R

Kalshi