Market comparison

PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Brooks, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Brooks, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brooks, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0% Brooks, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brooks, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0% Brooks, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brooks, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% Brooks, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brooks, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Brooks, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brooks, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 9.6% · Ask 21.0% Brooks, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brooks, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Brooks, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.8% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 3.2% · Ask 10.1% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.4% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.3% Bid 21.0% · Ask 21.5% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mackenzie, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 3.4% · Ask 14.0% Mackenzie, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mackenzie, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.4% Bid 4.4% · Ask 9.9% Mackenzie, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mackenzie, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9% Mackenzie, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Brooks, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Brooks, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brooks, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0%

Brooks, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brooks, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0%

Brooks, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brooks, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

Brooks, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brooks, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Brooks, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brooks, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 21.0%

Brooks, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Brooks, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Brooks, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.8%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 10.1%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.4%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.3%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 21.5%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mackenzie, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 14.0%

Mackenzie, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mackenzie, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 9.9%

Mackenzie, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mackenzie, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9%

Mackenzie, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets