Market comparison

PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.9% · Ask 6.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.1% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.1% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.2% Bid 14.0% · Ask 14.5% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.7% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Perry, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 8.3% · Ask 19.0% Perry, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perry, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.0% Perry, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Perry, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Perry, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.4% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stelson, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 78.0% Stelson, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stelson, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 70.0% Stelson, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stelson, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0% Stelson, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stelson, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Stelson, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stelson, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Stelson, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stelson, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.4% Bid 4.9% · Ask 16.0% Stelson, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.1%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.1%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.2%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 14.5%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.7%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Perry, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 19.0%

Perry, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perry, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.0%

Perry, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Perry, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Perry, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.4%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stelson, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 78.0%

Stelson, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stelson, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 70.0%

Stelson, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stelson, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0%

Stelson, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stelson, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Stelson, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stelson, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Stelson, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stelson, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.4%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 16.0%

Stelson, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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