Market comparison

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)

1 venue · 7 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

7 outcomes · $51K reported volume

Observed 408h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 6, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
October 1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 1 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
October 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 2 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
October 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 3 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
October 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 4 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
September 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old September 28 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
September 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old September 29 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old September 30 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

October 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 1 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

October 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 2 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

October 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 3 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

October 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 4 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

September 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

September 28 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

September 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

September 29 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

September 30 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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