Market comparison

Presidential Election Winner 2028

2 venues · 131 outcome rows · 28 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

128 outcomes · $718.3M reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2028

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

32 outcomes · $75.9M reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi: the next person inaugurated for the 2029 term. Polymarket: the election winner. They differ if the winner is not inaugurated.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Presidential Election Winner 2028
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	12.8% Bid 12.7% · Ask 12.8% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Open Polymarket ↗	9.3% Bid 9.3% · Ask 9.4% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Andy Beshear Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.2% Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.3% Andy Beshear Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 2.5% · Ask 2.6% Andy Beshear Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Doug Burgum Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Doug Burgum Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Doug Burgum Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Gavin Newsom Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	9.5% Bid 9.4% · Ask 9.6% Gavin Newsom Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Glenn Youngkin Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Glenn Youngkin Open Polymarket ↗	0.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.8% Glenn Youngkin Open Kalshi ↗	0.7 pp
Greg Abbott Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Greg Abbott Open Polymarket ↗	0.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Greg Abbott Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Gretchen Whitmer Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% Gretchen Whitmer Open Polymarket ↗	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7% Gretchen Whitmer Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
James Talarico Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.8% Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8% James Talarico Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% James Talarico Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Jamie Dimon Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% Jamie Dimon Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0% Jamie Dimon Open Kalshi ↗	0.7 pp
JB Pritzker Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8% JB Pritzker Open Polymarket ↗	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9% J.B. Pritzker Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
JD Vance Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	20.1% Bid 20.0% · Ask 20.1% JD Vance Open Polymarket ↗	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% J.D. Vance Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Jon Ossoff Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	9.8% Bid 9.7% · Ask 9.8% Jon Ossoff Open Polymarket ↗	9.2% Bid 9.2% · Ask 9.3% Jon Ossoff Open Kalshi ↗	0.6 pp
Josh Shapiro Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.9% Bid 2.9% · Ask 3.0% Josh Shapiro Open Polymarket ↗	2.7% Bid 2.6% · Ask 2.7% Josh Shapiro Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Kamala Harris Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.3% Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.3% Kamala Harris Open Polymarket ↗	4.1% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1% Kamala Harris Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Marco Rubio Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	8.6% Bid 8.4% · Ask 8.7% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 9.9% · Ask 10.0% Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Mark Kelly Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.2% Mark Kelly Open Polymarket ↗	2.6% Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.6% Mark Kelly Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Nikki Haley Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Nikki Haley Open Polymarket ↗	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% Nikki Haley Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Pete Buttigieg Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.8% Bid 2.7% · Ask 2.8% Pete Buttigieg Open Polymarket ↗	2.8% Bid 2.7% · Ask 2.8% Pete Buttigieg Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Rahm Emanuel Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7% Rahm Emanuel Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Rahm Emanuel Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Ro Khanna Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9% Ro Khanna Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ro Khanna Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Ron DeSantis Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.2% Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.3% Ron DeSantis Open Polymarket ↗	2.6% Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.6% Ron DeSantis Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Ted Cruz Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.8% Ted Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ted Cruz Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Thomas Massie Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1% Thomas Massie Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Thomas Massie Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Tim Walz Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tim Walz Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Tim Walz Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Tucker Carlson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.6% Tucker Carlson Open Polymarket ↗	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9% Tucker Carlson Open Kalshi ↗	0.6 pp
Tulsi Gabbard Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Tulsi Gabbard Open Polymarket ↗	0.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7% Tulsi Gabbard Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Vivek Ramaswamy Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Vivek Ramaswamy Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Vivek Ramaswamy Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Wes Moore Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.1% Wes Moore Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.3% Wes Moore Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
Abigail Spanberger Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Abigail Spanberger Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Adam Schiff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Adam Schiff Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Alex Padilla Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Alex Padilla Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candace Owens Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Candace Owens Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 1.5% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 2.5% · Ask 2.6% Donald J. Trump Open Kalshi ↗	—
Donald Trump Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6% Donald Trump Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Donald Trump Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.9% Donald J. Trump Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.6% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Elissa Slotkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Elissa Slotkin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Elon Musk Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Eric Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Eric Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hakeem Jeffries Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Hakeem Jeffries Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hunter Biden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Hunter Biden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ivanka Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7% Ivanka Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jalen Brunson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Jalen Brunson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
John N. Kennedy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% John N. Kennedy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Josh Stein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Josh Stein Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kim Kardashian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kim Kardashian Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
LeBron James Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% LeBron James Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matthew McConaughey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Matthew McConaughey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michelle Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Michelle Obama Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mike Johnson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Mike Johnson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AQ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AR · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AT · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AU Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AU · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AV · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AW Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AW · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AX · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AY · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person AZ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AZ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BQ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BR · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BT · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BU Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BU · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BV · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BW Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BW · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BX · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BY · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person BZ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person BZ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CQ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CR · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CT · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CU Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CU · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CV · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CW Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CW · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CX · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CY · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person CZ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person CZ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person DA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person DA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person DB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person DB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Pete Hegseth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raphael Warnock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1% Raphael Warnock Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rick Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rick Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stephen Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Stephen Smith Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stephen Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.5% Stephen A. Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tim Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tim Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tom Cotton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tom Cotton Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Zohran Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Zohran Mamdani Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

12.8%

Bid 12.7% · Ask 12.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Polymarket

Kalshi

Andy Beshear

Polymarket

Kalshi

Doug Burgum

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gavin Newsom

Polymarket

Kalshi

Glenn Youngkin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Greg Abbott

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gretchen Whitmer

Polymarket

Kalshi

James Talarico

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jamie Dimon

Polymarket

Kalshi

JB Pritzker

Polymarket

Kalshi

JD Vance

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jon Ossoff

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josh Shapiro

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kamala Harris

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marco Rubio

Polymarket

Kalshi

Mark Kelly

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nikki Haley

Polymarket

Kalshi

Pete Buttigieg

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rahm Emanuel

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ro Khanna

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ron DeSantis

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ted Cruz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Thomas Massie

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tim Walz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tucker Carlson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tulsi Gabbard