Market comparison
Pro Basketball MVP Winner
2 venues · 55 outcome rows · 32 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗54 outcomes · $3.9M reported volume
Observed 19s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2028
Polymarket
Open venue ↗60 outcomes · $29K reported volume
Observed 19s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Alperen Sengun Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Anthony Davis Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Anthony Edwards Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.4 pp | ||
Austin Reaves Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Cade Cunningham Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Cooper Flagg Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Deni Avdija Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Devin Booker Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Donovan Mitchell Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Evan Mobley Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Giannis Antetokounmpo Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Jalen Brunson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.7 pp | ||
Jalen Johnson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Jamal Murray Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Jaylen Brown Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Jayson Tatum Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.6 pp | ||
Joel Embiid Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Karl-Anthony Towns Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Kawhi Leonard Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.2 pp | ||
Kevin Durant Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
LaMelo Ball Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
LeBron James Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.2 pp | ||
Luka Doncic Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.8 pp | ||
Nikola Jokić Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Paolo Banchero Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Scottie Barnes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Stephen Curry Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.4 pp | ||
Tyrese Haliburton Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Tyrese Maxey Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.0 pp | ||
Victor Wembanyama Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Zion Williamson Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Amen Thompson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Bam Adebayo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chet Holmgren Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Derrick White Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Dylan Harper Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ivica Zubac Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jalen Green Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jalen Williams Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Harden Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jaren Jackson Jr. Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jarrett Allen Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jimmy Butler Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Julius Randle Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kon Knueppel Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mikal Bridges Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
OG Anunoby Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pascal Siakam Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paul George Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Stephon Castle Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tie/Co-Winners Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Trae Young Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tyler Herro Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
VJ Edgecombe Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Alperen Sengun
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Anthony Davis
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Anthony Edwards
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.4 pp
Austin Reaves
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Cade Cunningham
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Cooper Flagg
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Deni Avdija
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Devin Booker
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Donovan Mitchell
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Evan Mobley
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Jalen Brunson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.7 pp
Jalen Johnson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Jamal Murray
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Jaylen Brown
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Jayson Tatum
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.6 pp
Joel Embiid
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Karl-Anthony Towns
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Kawhi Leonard
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.2 pp
Kevin Durant
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
LaMelo Ball
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
LeBron James
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.2 pp
Luka Doncic
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.8 pp
Nikola Jokić
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Paolo Banchero
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Scottie Barnes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Stephen Curry
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.4 pp
Tyrese Haliburton
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Tyrese Maxey
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.0 pp
Victor Wembanyama
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Zion Williamson
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.8 pp
Amen Thompson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Bam Adebayo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Chet Holmgren
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Derrick White
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Dylan Harper
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ivica Zubac
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Jalen Green
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Jalen Williams
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Harden
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Jarrett Allen
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Jimmy Butler
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Julius Randle
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Kon Knueppel
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Mikal Bridges
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
OG Anunoby
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Pascal Siakam
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Paul George
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Stephon Castle
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Tie/Co-Winners
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Trae Young
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Tyler Herro
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
VJ Edgecombe
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.