The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Winner

2 venues · 86 outcome rows · 77 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

80 outcomes · $323K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 8, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

110 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Aaron Wiggins

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Aaron Wiggins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.2%

Aaron Wiggins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Ace Bailey

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Ace Bailey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.1%

Ace Bailey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Ajay Mitchell

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Ajay Mitchell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 10.2% · Ask 12.2%

Ajay Mitchell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.8 pp

Anfernee Simons

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Anfernee Simons

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.9%

Anfernee Simons

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Anthony Black

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Anthony Black

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 10.2%

Anthony Black

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Ayo Dosunmu

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Ayo Dosunmu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 10.2%

Ayo Dosunmu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Bennedict Mathurin

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Bennedict Mathurin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2%

Bennedict Mathurin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

Bobby Portis

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Bobby Portis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9%

Bobby Portis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Bradley Beal

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bradley Beal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Bradley Beal

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Brook Lopez

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Brook Lopez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Brook Lopez

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Bruce Brown

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bruce Brown

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Bruce Brown

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Caris LeVert

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Caris LeVert

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.3%

Caris LeVert

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Cason Wallace

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Cason Wallace

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Cason Wallace

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Cole Anthony

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cole Anthony

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Cole Anthony

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Collin Gillespie

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0%

Collin Gillespie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.8%

Bid 12.1% · Ask 15.4%

Collin Gillespie

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.8 pp

Collin Sexton

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Collin Sexton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.2%

Collin Sexton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Damian Lillard

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Damian Lillard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.2%

Damian Lillard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Daniel Gafford

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Daniel Gafford

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Daniel Gafford

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Daniss Jenkins

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Daniss Jenkins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Daniss Jenkins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Davion Mitchell

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Davion Mitchell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Davion Mitchell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

De'Andre Hunter

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

De'Andre Hunter

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

De'Andre Hunter

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Dennis Schröder

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dennis Schröder

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Dennis Schroder

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Derik Queen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Derik Queen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Derik Queen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Donte DiVincenzo

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 73.0%

Donte DiVincenzo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.0%

Donte DiVincenzo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Duncan Robinson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Duncan Robinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Duncan Robinson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Dylan Harper

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Dylan Harper

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 13.4%

Dylan Harper

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.8 pp

Gradey Dick

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Gradey Dick

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Gradey Dick

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Grayson Allen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Grayson Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.2%

Grayson Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Guerschon Yabusele

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Guerschon Yabusele

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Guerschon Yabusele

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Hugo González

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Hugo González

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.2%

Hugo Gonzalez

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Isaiah Collier

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Isaiah Collier

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.3%

Isaiah Collier

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Isaiah Joe

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Isaiah Joe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Isaiah Joe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Jabari Smith

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jabari Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8%

Jabari Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Jamal Shead

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jamal Shead

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Jamal Shead

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Jared McCain

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Jared McCain

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 11.2%

Jared McCain

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Jaylon Tyson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jaylon Tyson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2%

Jaylon Tyson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

Jerami Grant

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jerami Grant

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Jerami Grant

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Jeremiah Fears

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jeremiah Fears

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Jeremiah Fears

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Jonathan Kuminga

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jonathan Kuminga

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.9%

Jonathan Kuminga

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

Jordan Clarkson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jordan Clarkson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Jordan Clarkson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Jrue Holiday

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jrue Holiday

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.1%

Jrue Holiday

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Julian Strawther

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Julian Strawther

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Julian Strawther

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Kel'el Ware

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kel'el Ware

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8%

Kel'el Ware

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Keldon Johnson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Keldon Johnson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Keldon Johnson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Keon Ellis

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Keon Ellis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.2%

Keon Ellis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.7 pp

Kevin Porter Jr.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kevin Porter Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Kevin Porter Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Keyonte George

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Keyonte George

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.8%

Keyonte George

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Lonzo Ball

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lonzo Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Lonzo Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Luke Kennard

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Luke Kennard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.8%

Luke Kennard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Max Christie

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Max Christie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Max Christie

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Miles McBride

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Miles McBride

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.2%

Miles McBride

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Mitchell Robinson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Mitchell Robinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Mitchell Robinson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Naz Reid

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Naz Reid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Naz Reid

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Nikola Jovic

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Nikola Jovic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Nikola Jovic

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Obi Toppin

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Obi Toppin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Obi Toppin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Onyeka Okongwu

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Onyeka Okongwu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Onyeka Okongwu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

P.J. Washington

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

P.J. Washington

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

P.J. Washington

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Payton Pritchard

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0%

Payton Pritchard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 14.2%

Payton Pritchard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 7.9 pp

Pelle Larsson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Pelle Larsson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.1%

Pelle Larsson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Quentin Grimes

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Quentin Grimes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8%

Quentin Grimes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Reed Sheppard

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Reed Sheppard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.4%

Reed Sheppard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.3 pp

Ron Holland II

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ron Holland II

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.3%

Ron Holland II

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Sam Hauser

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sam Hauser

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.9%

Sam Hauser

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Sam Merrill

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Sam Merrill

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Sam Merrill

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Santi Aldama

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Santi Aldama

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Santi Aldama

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Scoot Henderson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Scoot Henderson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 12.4%

Scoot Henderson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.3 pp

Shaedon Sharpe

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Shaedon Sharpe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.3%

Shaedon Sharpe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.3 pp

T.J. McConnell

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

T.J. McConnell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

T.J. McConnell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Tari Eason

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tari Eason

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

Tari Eason

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Terrence Shannon Jr.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Terrence Shannon Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 8.2%

Terrence Shannon Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.4%

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.3 pp

Ty Jerome

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ty Jerome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Ty Jerome

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Zaccharie Risacher

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zaccharie Risacher

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.3%

Zaccharie Risacher

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Player AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie/Co-Winners

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tie/Co-Winners

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tre Johnson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tre Johnson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.