The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Pro Football: 25+ Passing Touchdowns Season

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Observed 6m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

32 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Aaron Rodgers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 72.0%

Aaron Rodgers

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 15.0 pp

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.3%

Baker Mayfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 38.8 pp

Bo Nix

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bo Nix

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 41.0%

Bo Nix

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 25.5 pp

Brock Purdy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

72.5%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 74.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 97.0%

Brock Purdy

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 9.5 pp

Bryce Young

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%

Bryce Young

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 71.0%

Bryce Young

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 11.0 pp

C.J. Stroud

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 52.0%

C.J. Stroud

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 27.0 pp

Caleb Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Caleb Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 11.0 pp

Dak Prescott

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 55.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 79.0%

Dak Prescott

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 26.0 pp

Drake Maye

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0%

Drake Maye

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 75.0%

Drake Maye

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 8.5 pp

Fernando Mendoza

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.4%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Fernando Mendoza

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 40.8 pp

Jalen Hurts

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jalen Hurts

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Jared Goff

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

75.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0%

Jared Goff

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 96.0%

Jared Goff

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 21.0 pp

Jaxson Dart

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.8%

Jaxson Dart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jaxson Dart

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 37.9 pp

Jayden Daniels

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.9%

Jayden Daniels

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jayden Daniels

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.4 pp

Joe Burrow

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 83.0%

Joe Burrow

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

Jordan Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 47.0%

Jordan Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Jordan Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 39.0 pp

Josh Allen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 71.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 37.0 pp

Justin Herbert

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 8.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 82.0%

Justin Herbert

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Lamar Jackson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Lamar Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 37.5 pp

Malik Willis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Malik Willis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Malik Willis

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 15.0 pp

Matthew Stafford

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 53.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 78.0%

Matthew Stafford

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 26.5 pp

Patrick Mahomes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 82.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 27.0 pp

Sam Darnold

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 41.0%

Sam Darnold

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 24.0 pp

Trevor Lawrence

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 96.0%

Trevor Lawrence

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 20.0 pp

Tyler Shough

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

40.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 79.0%

Tyler Shough

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 22.0 pp

16.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

91.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.0%

16.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

18.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0%

18.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

19.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

75.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0%

19.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

21.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0%

21.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

22.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 52.0%

22.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

24.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

24.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

25.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

25.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

27.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

27.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

28.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

28.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

30.5+ passing TDs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.3%

30.5+ passing TDs

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cam Ward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Cameron Ward

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cam Ward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 14.0%

Cam Ward

Open Kalshi ↗

Daniel Jones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Daniel Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Geno Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 40.0%

Geno Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Jacoby Brissett

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 50.0%

Jacoby Brissett

Open Kalshi ↗

Kyler Murray

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0%

Kyler Murray

Open Kalshi ↗

Shedeur Sanders

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Shedeur Sanders

Open Kalshi ↗

Tua Tagovailoa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tua Tagovailoa

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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