Market comparison

Pro Football: 3000+ Passing Yards Season

2 venues · 42 outcome rows · 23 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $51K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $39K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 4m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football: 3000+ Passing Yards Season
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Baker Mayfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	21.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 41.0% Baker Mayfield Open Polymarket ↗	64.0 pp
Bo Nix Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	52.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 82.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗	23.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 31.0% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	29.0 pp
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	75.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 95.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	79.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 82.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	4.5 pp
Bryce Young Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 94.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗	82.5% Bid 81.0% · Ask 84.0% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Caleb Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	68.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 68.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗	29.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	39.0 pp
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	87.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 95.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	83.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 84.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	3.5 pp
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	84.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 84.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	82.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 85.0% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Fernando Mendoza Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Fernando Mendoza Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	1.8 pp
Jalen Hurts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗	4.8% Bid 4.7% · Ask 4.9% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	2.8 pp
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	89.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 97.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	90.5% Bid 90.0% · Ask 91.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Jaxson Dart Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jaxson Dart Open Kalshi ↗	2.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.7% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Jayden Daniels Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 81.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	10.1% Bid 6.5% · Ask 13.6% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	14.9 pp
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	84.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Jordan Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	97.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 97.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗	82.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	15.0 pp
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	98.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 98.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	82.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 86.0% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	16.0 pp
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	71.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 83.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	39.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	31.5 pp
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	57.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 85.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	21.0 pp
Malik Willis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	59.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 59.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	45.5 pp
Matthew Stafford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	89.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 96.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗	82.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 85.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	6.5 pp
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	94.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 94.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	81.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 89.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	12.5 pp
Sam Darnold Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	74.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 83.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗	39.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	34.5 pp
Trevor Lawrence Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	87.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗	79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	8.0 pp
Tyler Shough Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	91.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 93.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗	71.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	19.5 pp
2,999.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 70.0% 2,999.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,099.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 83.7% · Ask 99.3% 3,099.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,249.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 65.0% 3,249.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,349.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 97.0% 3,349.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,499.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 39.0% 3,499.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,599.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 78.0% 3,599.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,749.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 32.0% 3,749.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,849.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% 3,849.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,999.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% 3,999.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
4,099.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 47.0% 4,099.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
Aaron Rodgers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 81.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
C.J. Stroud Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 79.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.2% Bid 12.5% · Ask 15.9% Cameron Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—
Daniel Jones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 84.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Geno Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kirk Cousins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 76.0% Kirk Cousins Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kyler Murray Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 38.0% Kyler Murray Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Penix Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 62.0% Michael Penix Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 41.0%

Baker Mayfield

Pro Football: 3000+ Passing Yards Season

Kalshi

Polymarket

Baker Mayfield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bo Nix

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brock Purdy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bryce Young

Kalshi

Polymarket

Caleb Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dak Prescott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Drake Maye

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fernando Mendoza

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jalen Hurts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jared Goff

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaxson Dart

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jayden Daniels

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joe Burrow

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jordan Love

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh Allen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Justin Herbert

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lamar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Malik Willis

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matthew Stafford

Kalshi

Polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Darnold

Kalshi

Polymarket

Trevor Lawrence

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tyler Shough

Kalshi

Polymarket

2,999.5+ passing yards

Kalshi

Polymarket

3,099.5+ passing yards

Kalshi

Polymarket

3,249.5+ passing yards

Kalshi