Market comparison

Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season

2 venues · 42 outcome rows · 23 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $139K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 2, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Baker Mayfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	35.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 67.0% Baker Mayfield Open Kalshi ↗	23.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 46.0% Baker Mayfield Open Polymarket ↗	11.5 pp
Bo Nix Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0% Bo Nix Open Kalshi ↗	24.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0% Bo Nix Open Polymarket ↗	8.0 pp
Brock Purdy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	61.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 84.0% Brock Purdy Open Kalshi ↗	80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 83.0% Brock Purdy Open Polymarket ↗	19.0 pp
Bryce Young Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	80.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 82.0% Bryce Young Open Kalshi ↗	81.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 83.0% Bryce Young Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Caleb Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Caleb Williams Open Kalshi ↗	27.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 42.0% Caleb Williams Open Polymarket ↗	12.0 pp
Dak Prescott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	63.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 68.0% Dak Prescott Open Kalshi ↗	83.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 84.0% Dak Prescott Open Polymarket ↗	20.5 pp
Drake Maye Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	49.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 73.0% Drake Maye Open Kalshi ↗	82.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 85.0% Drake Maye Open Polymarket ↗	33.5 pp
Fernando Mendoza Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	42.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 84.0% Fernando Mendoza Open Kalshi ↗	2.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.4% Fernando Mendoza Open Polymarket ↗	39.2 pp
Jalen Hurts Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jalen Hurts Open Kalshi ↗	4.8% Bid 4.7% · Ask 4.8% Jalen Hurts Open Polymarket ↗	3.8 pp
Jared Goff Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	83.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 83.0% Jared Goff Open Kalshi ↗	90.5% Bid 90.0% · Ask 91.0% Jared Goff Open Polymarket ↗	7.5 pp
Jaxson Dart Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Jaxson Dart Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Jaxson Dart Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Jayden Daniels Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 84.0% Jayden Daniels Open Kalshi ↗	10.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.9% Jayden Daniels Open Polymarket ↗	4.0 pp
Joe Burrow Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	71.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 84.0% Joe Burrow Open Kalshi ↗	83.5% Bid 81.0% · Ask 86.0% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	12.5 pp
Jordan Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	71.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 79.0% Jordan Love Open Kalshi ↗	82.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0% Jordan Love Open Polymarket ↗	11.0 pp
Josh Allen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	58.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 81.0% Josh Allen Open Kalshi ↗	81.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 84.0% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	23.0 pp
Justin Herbert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	21.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0% Justin Herbert Open Kalshi ↗	39.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Justin Herbert Open Polymarket ↗	18.5 pp
Lamar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 39.0% Lamar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Lamar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	34.0 pp
Malik Willis Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 19.0% Malik Willis Open Kalshi ↗	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Malik Willis Open Polymarket ↗	7.5 pp
Matthew Stafford Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	71.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 71.0% Matthew Stafford Open Kalshi ↗	81.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 82.0% Matthew Stafford Open Polymarket ↗	10.0 pp
Patrick Mahomes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 53.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Kalshi ↗	81.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 89.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	28.5 pp
Sam Darnold Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 20.0% Sam Darnold Open Kalshi ↗	39.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0% Sam Darnold Open Polymarket ↗	19.5 pp
Trevor Lawrence Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	64.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 82.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Kalshi ↗	79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% Trevor Lawrence Open Polymarket ↗	15.0 pp
Tyler Shough Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 75.0% Tyler Shough Open Kalshi ↗	71.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0% Tyler Shough Open Polymarket ↗	34.5 pp
2,999.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 69.0% 2,999.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,099.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.3% Bid 82.9% · Ask 99.7% 3,099.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,249.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.5% Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0% 3,249.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,349.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 95.0% 3,349.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,499.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0% 3,499.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,599.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.5% Bid 76.0% · Ask 77.0% 3,599.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,749.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 41.0% 3,749.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,849.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 40.0% 3,849.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
3,999.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% 3,999.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
4,099.5+ passing yards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 34.0% 4,099.5+ passing yards Open Polymarket ↗	—
Aaron Rodgers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 40.0% Aaron Rodgers Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
C.J. Stroud Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.5% Bid 79.0% · Ask 80.0% C.J. Stroud Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 17.0% Cam Ward Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cameron Ward Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.1% Bid 12.5% · Ask 15.8% Cameron Ward Open Polymarket ↗	—
Daniel Jones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 24.0% Daniel Jones Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Geno Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 41.0% Geno Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kirk Cousins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 54.0% Kirk Cousins Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kyler Murray Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Kyler Murray Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Penix Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 78.0% Michael Penix Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Baker Mayfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 67.0%

Baker Mayfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 46.0%

Baker Mayfield

Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season

Kalshi

Polymarket

Baker Mayfield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bo Nix

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brock Purdy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bryce Young

Kalshi

Polymarket

Caleb Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dak Prescott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Drake Maye

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fernando Mendoza

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jalen Hurts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jared Goff

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaxson Dart

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jayden Daniels

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joe Burrow

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jordan Love

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh Allen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Justin Herbert

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lamar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Malik Willis

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matthew Stafford

Kalshi

Polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Darnold

Kalshi

Polymarket

Trevor Lawrence

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tyler Shough

Kalshi

Polymarket

2,999.5+ passing yards

Kalshi

Polymarket

3,099.5+ passing yards

Kalshi

Polymarket

3,249.5+ passing yards

Kalshi