The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Pro Football: Fernando Mendoza named Raiders starting QB by...?

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 4 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

10 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 19, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Week 3

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Week 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Week 3 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Week 4

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Week 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Week 4 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Week 5

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Week 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Week 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Week 6

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 3.5%

Week 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Week 6

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 30.0%

Fernando Mendoza first start: Does not start in the regular season

Open Kalshi ↗

Week 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.8%

Week 1 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 1 to Week 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Week 1 to Week 2 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Week 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Week 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 28.0%

Week 7

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 7 to Week 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Week 7 to Week 8

Open Kalshi ↗

Week 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 6.4%

Week 8

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 23.0%

Week 9

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 9 to Week 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0%

Week 9 to Week 10

Open Kalshi ↗

Week 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 19.0%

Week 10

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 46.0%

Week 11

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 11 to Week 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0%

Week 11 to Week 14

Open Kalshi ↗

Week 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 54.0%

Week 12

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Week 13

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

Week 14

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

57.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 68.0%

Week 15

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 15 to Week 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 37.0%

Week 15 to Week 18

Open Kalshi ↗

Week 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.5%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 69.0%

Week 16

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0%

Week 17

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Week 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

73.5%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0%

Week 18

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.