Market comparison
Raptors vs. Timberwolves
2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗2 outcomes · $6K reported volume
Observed 55s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026
Polymarket
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $5K reported volume
Observed 55s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026
Known rule differences between venues
- Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
- Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
- Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
- Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
- UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
- Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Toronto Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Minnesota Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 239.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Odd/Even Score Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Overtime? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Race to 10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Race to 20 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Race to 30 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -5.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Team to Score First Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Toronto
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Minnesota
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
O/U 239.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Odd/Even Score
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Overtime?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Race to 10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Race to 20
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Race to 30
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -5.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Team to Score First
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.