Market comparison

Raptors vs. Wizards

2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $109K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Raptors vs. Wizards
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Toronto Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	68.5% Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0% Raptors vs. Wizards Open Polymarket ↗	69.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0% Toronto Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
O/U 221.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 82.0% O/U 221.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 224.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 77.0% O/U 224.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 227.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0% O/U 227.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 230.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% O/U 230.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 232.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 59.0% O/U 232.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 233.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	56.5% Bid 56.0% · Ask 57.0% O/U 233.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 235.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% O/U 235.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 236.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0% O/U 236.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 237.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% O/U 237.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 238.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0% O/U 238.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 240.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0% O/U 240.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 243.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% O/U 243.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 246.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0% O/U 246.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 249.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% O/U 249.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Odd/Even Score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Odd/Even Score Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Overtime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 45.0% Overtime? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Race to 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 89.0% Race to 10 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Race to 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 89.0% Race to 20 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Race to 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 89.0% Race to 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0% Spread -1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0% Spread -2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -4.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.5% Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0% Spread -4.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -5.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Spread -5.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -7.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.5% Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0% Spread -7.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -12.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Spread -12.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -15.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Spread -15.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -18.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Spread -18.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0% Spread: Raptors (-3.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Raptors (-6.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0% Spread: Raptors (-6.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Raptors (-9.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0% Spread: Raptors (-9.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Wizards (-3.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Spread: Wizards (-3.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Wizards (-6.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.0% Spread: Wizards (-6.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Wizards (-9.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Spread: Wizards (-9.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Team to Score First Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Team to Score First Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Washington Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Washington Open Kalshi ↗	—

Toronto

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0%

Raptors vs. Wizards

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0%

Toronto

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

O/U 221.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 82.0%

O/U 221.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 224.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

75.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 77.0%

O/U 224.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 227.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0%

O/U 227.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 230.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

62.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0%

O/U 230.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 232.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 59.0%

O/U 232.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 233.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

56.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 57.0%

O/U 233.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 235.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

O/U 235.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 236.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

O/U 236.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 237.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%

O/U 237.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 238.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

O/U 238.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 240.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0%

O/U 240.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 243.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

O/U 243.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 246.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0%

O/U 246.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 249.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0%

O/U 249.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Odd/Even Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Odd/Even Score

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Overtime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 45.0%

Overtime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Race to 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 89.0%

Race to 10

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Race to 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 89.0%

Race to 20

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Race to 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 89.0%

Race to 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0%

Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0%

Spread -2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread -4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0%

Spread -5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0%

Spread -7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -12.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Spread -12.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Spread -15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Spread -18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0%

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Raptors (-6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Spread: Raptors (-6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Raptors (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0%

Spread: Raptors (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Wizards (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Spread: Wizards (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Wizards (-6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.0%

Spread: Wizards (-6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Wizards (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Spread: Wizards (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Team to Score First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Team to Score First

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Washington

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Washington

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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