Market comparison

RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.8% Bid 23.3% · Ask 24.4% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 36.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Magaziner, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.2% Bid 92.8% · Ask 97.0% Magaziner, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.8% Bid 90.8% · Ask 96.9% Magaziner, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.9% Magaziner, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.7% Magaziner, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Magaziner, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0% Magaziner, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Magaziner, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0% Magaziner, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0% Magaziner, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Magaziner, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0% Magaziner, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.8%

Bid 23.3% · Ask 24.4%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 36.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Magaziner, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.2%

Bid 92.8% · Ask 97.0%

Magaziner, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.8%

Bid 90.8% · Ask 96.9%

Magaziner, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.9%

Magaziner, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.7%

Magaziner, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Magaziner, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0%

Magaziner, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Magaziner, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0%

Magaziner, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0%

Magaziner, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Magaziner, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 14.0%

Magaziner, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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